2004 NFL Week 6 Preview: Picks, Fantasy Lineups and HammQuotient

2004 NFL Week 6 Preview: Picks, Fantasy Lineups and HammQuotient
 

We will only pick winners here. I don't care about lines. The NFL is about victories, not point spreads. So use our picks for your amusement purposes only. Don't forget to check out Sunday night/Monday morning for our Sunday Night QB review of the Eagles-Vikings game. We will have a preview of the game this weekend!

Last Week: [Preview] [Results]

Week 6 NFL picks - Mike Cunningham
HomeAway
Chicago Bears Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons San Diego Chargers
Buffalo Bills Miami Dolphins
Detroit Lions Green Bay Packers
Philadelphia Eagles Carolina Panthers
Tennessee Titans Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars Kansas City Chiefs
New England Patriots Seattle Seahawks
New York Jets San Francisco 49ers
Cleveland Browns Cincinnati Bengals
Oakland Raiders Denver Broncos
Dallas Cowboys Pittsburgh Steelers
New Orleans Saints Minnesota Vikings
St. Louis Rams Tampa Bay Buccaneers
MNF total: 42
[TOP]

Fantasy Football

Week 5 was a big disappoint me for me in both leagues. First in my Yahoo! league, going into Monday Night, I had a 20 point lead, with my opponent having Chris Brown and Tennesee DF going on Monday night. Brown alone scored 20 points with 148 yards on the ground plus 2 touchdowns. He added 24 yards on 3 catches. The Tennessee defense recorded 6 turnovers against the Packers. My opponent even sat the Detroit Defense who had 4 turnovers plus 6 sacks. I wasn't making it out of Dallas alive.

This week I like my team's chances. Donovan McNabb is back for revenge against Carolina. I have 1 very good and 1 very solid Running Back matching up against 1 very good and 1 ok running back. I like my receivers, especially if Muhammed tanks as bad as last week

Week 6
Oct 12 - Oct 18

  HammTastic vs. Milwaukee Beers 
HammTastic (2-3-0)
 PosPlayerOppPts
 QBD. McNabb (Phi - QB)Car0
 WRI. Bruce (StL - WR) TB0
 WRR. Curry (Oak - WR)Den0
 WRD. Givens (NE - WR) Sea0
 RBW. Dunn (Atl - RB)SD0
 RBP. HolmesP (KC - RB) @Jac0
 TEM. Pollard (Ind - TE) Bye0
 KD. Akers (Phi - K)Car0
 DEFNew York (NYJ - DEF)SF0
 Total0
Milwaukee Beers (4-1-0)
 PosPlayerOppPts
 QBC. Pennington (NYJ - QB) SF0
 WRM. Muhammad (Car - WR)@Phi0
 WRRo. WilliamsQ (Det - WR) GB0
 WRC. Johnson (Cin - WR) @Cle0
 RBA. GreenP (GB - RB) @Det0
 RBR. Johnson (Cin - RB) @Cle0
 TET. HeapDTD (Bal - TE) Bye0
 KJ. Kasay (Car - K) @Phi0
 DEFAtlanta (Atl - DEF)SD0
 Total0
[TOP]

Apollo's Creed (2-3)

Week 5 was rough for me, as I lost to the weekly bonus winner in our league. No shame in that I suppose. No shame. This week, I should have another tough match up. As my opponent's team is clear the better team. Jamal Lewis is on a bye and about to start a 2 week suspension, so it's time for Warrick Dunn to take the bull by the horns and score some points. Dunn has been very consistent scoring 16.7 points per game. And is 4 out of 5 in the HammQuotient for this league. I don't have a HammQuotient for the Yahoo leaque which puts a high premium on touchdowns but little value for yards gained. (20 yards per point versus 10 yards per point in FFNation.com).

The RUMP ROASTERS
patrick
Score
0.00
Starting Lineup
PosPlayerStatsPts
QB M. Hasselbeck (SEA) 0
RB S. Alexander (SEA) 0
RB C. Brown (TEN) 0
WR R. Smith (DEN) 0
WR A. Davis (CLE) 0
WR R. Hymes (BAL) 0
K J. Brown (SEA) 0
DEFNew England 0
Apollo's Creed 
hammradio 
Score
0.00
Starting Lineup
PosPlayerStatsPts
QB T. Green (KC) 0
RB C. Martin (NYJ) 0
RB W. Dunn (ATL) 0
WR D. Patten (NE) 0
WR J. Morton (KC) 0
WR D. Jackson (SEA) 0
K D. Akers (PHI) 0
DEFDetroit 0
Bench Players
PosPlayerStatsPts
QB J. Delhomme (CAR) 0
RB E. George (DAL) 0
RB A. Stecker (NO) 0
RB M. Morris (SEA) 0
WR T. Owens (PHI) 0
WR D. Branch (NE) 0
WR A. Boldin (ARZ) 0
TE E. Johnson (SF) 0
DEFSeattle 0
Bench Players
PosPlayerStatsPts
QB P. Manning (IND) 0
RB J. Lewis (BAL) 0
RB L. Toefield (JAC) 0
WR Q. Morgan (CLE) 0
WR M. Muhammad (CAR) 0
WR P. Price (ATL) 0
WR M. Booker (MIA) 0
WR A. Randle El (PIT) 0
K J. Feely (ATL) 0
[TOP]

Gridiron Challenge

I know I have 3 Eagles on this list. But the 3 are ranked in the Top 4 of their position. And they are low because they were on a bye last week. Expect them all to have huge weeks. Priest Holmes is also back from a bye and trying to right the ship that is the Kansas City Chiefs. To win this you MUST have Daunte Culpepper on your team. My only weakness is defense, and I don't know what to do about that, I have only .2 points to play with and that's not enough.

Current Roster 2004 Season Totals Value
POS PLAYER, TEAM NEXT RANK TOT AVG LAST LWOPP MARKET LOCKED
QB Daunte Culpepper, MIN@NO 111929.838--6.76.5
QB Donovan McNabb, PHICAR 49624.00--6.46.4
RB Priest HolmesP, KC@JAC 78320.80--6.26.2
RB LaDainian TomlinsonP, SD@ATL 38617.218--6.06.0
WR Randy MossP, MIN@NO 37117.821--6.26.2
WR Terrell Owens, PHICAR 47017.50--6.06.0
K David Akers, PHICAR 24110.30--4.84.8
K John Carney, NOMIN 4387.65--4.24.2
D Cleveland BrownsCIN 13459.01--3.53.5

P - Probable; Q - Questionable; D - Doubtful; O - Out; IR - Injured Reserve                      Total Rating 50.0 49.8
Available Rating  50.0 50.0
Difference  .0 .2

Season Results
WEEK  1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 SEASON PCT
Your Entry 125 116 118 105 132 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 596 78.1
Average 111 106 124 88 105 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 475 50.0
Best 200 165 210 149 205 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 765 100.0
[TOP]

Using the HammQuotient To Analyze a Trade

In many Fantasy leagues you have a trade committees to protect teams from unloading players to better teams when your season is over. Some teams begin to troll the 0-5 teams for their best players and unload decent players who have been mired on your bench. Without a trade committe you might see Freddie Mitchell for Marvin Harrison deals left and right.

However, those who argue against trade committees are usually concerned with certain owners who have it against you, rather than truly analyzing a deal. So what is a boy to do? Well, develop some statistics to give you some insight into how the deal is laid out. Here is a recent trade that caused quite a lot of consternation in our league:

Average per weeks (HammQuotient):
Team A				versus Team B
Priest 22.6 (3/4) versus TJ 24.2  (3/4)
Blalock 2.4  (0/5) versus Pinner 7.3 (1/4)
Stallworth 11.6 (3/5) versus C. Johnson 13.9 (2/4)
Keyshawn 11.4 (2/4) versus Gabriel 7.3 (1/4)

Team A's average per week total is 48 versus Team B's (52.7)

The HammQuotient asks the question was it worth starting the player that week? It's a way I like to beat myself over whether I set up my lineups properly that week. Since you're average points per week can be very high, but that is because you scored 40 points one week, but less than 10 the other 3 weeks.

  • If a running back gets over 14.5 points then yes.
  • If a receiver gets over 10.0 points then yes.
  • If a QB gets over 18 points then yes.
  • If a K gets over 7 points then yes.
  • If a DF gets over 12 points then yes.

In the above cases you Team A's HammQuotient in the trade is 8/18 or .421 versus Team B's 7/16 which is a .438.

So my final analysis of the trade at this point in the season is it's pretty fair.


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Philly Sports HQ -- Eagles Sunday Night QB

2004 NFL Week 6 Preview: Picks, Fantasy Lineups and HammQuotient

Last Modified
10/15/2004 6:51 PM
Story Summary
Week 6 is upon us. The Eagles return to the field and the NFL is abuzz with some still undefeated teams. Who will stay undefeated? Who will have big Fantasy weeks?
2004 NFL Week 6 Preview: Picks, Fantasy Lineups and HammQuotient
 

We will only pick winners here. I don't care about lines. The NFL is about victories, not point spreads. So use our picks for your amusement purposes only. Don't forget to check out Sunday night/Monday morning for our Sunday Night QB review of the Eagles-Vikings game. We will have a preview of the game this weekend!

Last Week: [Preview] [Results]

Week 6 NFL picks - Mike Cunningham
HomeAway
Chicago Bears Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons San Diego Chargers
Buffalo Bills Miami Dolphins
Detroit Lions Green Bay Packers
Philadelphia Eagles Carolina Panthers
Tennessee Titans Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars Kansas City Chiefs
New England Patriots Seattle Seahawks
New York Jets San Francisco 49ers
Cleveland Browns Cincinnati Bengals
Oakland Raiders Denver Broncos
Dallas Cowboys Pittsburgh Steelers
New Orleans Saints Minnesota Vikings
St. Louis Rams Tampa Bay Buccaneers
MNF total: 42
[TOP]

Fantasy Football

Week 5 was a big disappoint me for me in both leagues. First in my Yahoo! league, going into Monday Night, I had a 20 point lead, with my opponent having Chris Brown and Tennesee DF going on Monday night. Brown alone scored 20 points with 148 yards on the ground plus 2 touchdowns. He added 24 yards on 3 catches. The Tennessee defense recorded 6 turnovers against the Packers. My opponent even sat the Detroit Defense who had 4 turnovers plus 6 sacks. I wasn't making it out of Dallas alive.

This week I like my team's chances. Donovan McNabb is back for revenge against Carolina. I have 1 very good and 1 very solid Running Back matching up against 1 very good and 1 ok running back. I like my receivers, especially if Muhammed tanks as bad as last week

Week 6
Oct 12 - Oct 18

  HammTastic vs. Milwaukee Beers 
HammTastic (2-3-0)
 PosPlayerOppPts
 QBD. McNabb (Phi - QB)Car0
 WRI. Bruce (StL - WR) TB0
 WRR. Curry (Oak - WR)Den0
 WRD. Givens (NE - WR) Sea0
 RBW. Dunn (Atl - RB)SD0
 RBP. HolmesP (KC - RB) @Jac0
 TEM. Pollard (Ind - TE) Bye0
 KD. Akers (Phi - K)Car0
 DEFNew York (NYJ - DEF)SF0
 Total0
Milwaukee Beers (4-1-0)
 PosPlayerOppPts
 QBC. Pennington (NYJ - QB) SF0
 WRM. Muhammad (Car - WR)@Phi0
 WRRo. WilliamsQ (Det - WR) GB0
 WRC. Johnson (Cin - WR) @Cle0
 RBA. GreenP (GB - RB) @Det0
 RBR. Johnson (Cin - RB) @Cle0
 TET. HeapDTD (Bal - TE) Bye0
 KJ. Kasay (Car - K) @Phi0
 DEFAtlanta (Atl - DEF)SD0
 Total0
[TOP]

Apollo's Creed (2-3)

Week 5 was rough for me, as I lost to the weekly bonus winner in our league. No shame in that I suppose. No shame. This week, I should have another tough match up. As my opponent's team is clear the better team. Jamal Lewis is on a bye and about to start a 2 week suspension, so it's time for Warrick Dunn to take the bull by the horns and score some points. Dunn has been very consistent scoring 16.7 points per game. And is 4 out of 5 in the HammQuotient for this league. I don't have a HammQuotient for the Yahoo leaque which puts a high premium on touchdowns but little value for yards gained. (20 yards per point versus 10 yards per point in FFNation.com).

The RUMP ROASTERS
patrick
Score
0.00
Starting Lineup
PosPlayerStatsPts
QB M. Hasselbeck (SEA) 0
RB S. Alexander (SEA) 0
RB C. Brown (TEN) 0
WR R. Smith (DEN) 0
WR A. Davis (CLE) 0
WR R. Hymes (BAL) 0
K J. Brown (SEA) 0
DEFNew England 0
Apollo's Creed 
hammradio 
Score
0.00
Starting Lineup
PosPlayerStatsPts
QB T. Green (KC) 0
RB C. Martin (NYJ) 0
RB W. Dunn (ATL) 0
WR D. Patten (NE) 0
WR J. Morton (KC) 0
WR D. Jackson (SEA) 0
K D. Akers (PHI) 0
DEFDetroit 0
Bench Players
PosPlayerStatsPts
QB J. Delhomme (CAR) 0
RB E. George (DAL) 0
RB A. Stecker (NO) 0
RB M. Morris (SEA) 0
WR T. Owens (PHI) 0
WR D. Branch (NE) 0
WR A. Boldin (ARZ) 0
TE E. Johnson (SF) 0
DEFSeattle 0
Bench Players
PosPlayerStatsPts
QB P. Manning (IND) 0
RB J. Lewis (BAL) 0
RB L. Toefield (JAC) 0
WR Q. Morgan (CLE) 0
WR M. Muhammad (CAR) 0
WR P. Price (ATL) 0
WR M. Booker (MIA) 0
WR A. Randle El (PIT) 0
K J. Feely (ATL) 0
[TOP]

Gridiron Challenge

I know I have 3 Eagles on this list. But the 3 are ranked in the Top 4 of their position. And they are low because they were on a bye last week. Expect them all to have huge weeks. Priest Holmes is also back from a bye and trying to right the ship that is the Kansas City Chiefs. To win this you MUST have Daunte Culpepper on your team. My only weakness is defense, and I don't know what to do about that, I have only .2 points to play with and that's not enough.

Current Roster 2004 Season Totals Value
POS PLAYER, TEAM NEXT RANK TOT AVG LAST LWOPP MARKET LOCKED
QB Daunte Culpepper, MIN@NO 111929.838--6.76.5
QB Donovan McNabb, PHICAR 49624.00--6.46.4
RB Priest HolmesP, KC@JAC 78320.80--6.26.2
RB LaDainian TomlinsonP, SD@ATL 38617.218--6.06.0
WR Randy MossP, MIN@NO 37117.821--6.26.2
WR Terrell Owens, PHICAR 47017.50--6.06.0
K David Akers, PHICAR 24110.30--4.84.8
K John Carney, NOMIN 4387.65--4.24.2
D Cleveland BrownsCIN 13459.01--3.53.5

P - Probable; Q - Questionable; D - Doubtful; O - Out; IR - Injured Reserve                      Total Rating 50.0 49.8
Available Rating  50.0 50.0
Difference  .0 .2

Season Results
WEEK  1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 SEASON PCT
Your Entry 125 116 118 105 132 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 596 78.1
Average 111 106 124 88 105 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 475 50.0
Best 200 165 210 149 205 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 765 100.0
[TOP]

Using the HammQuotient To Analyze a Trade

In many Fantasy leagues you have a trade committees to protect teams from unloading players to better teams when your season is over. Some teams begin to troll the 0-5 teams for their best players and unload decent players who have been mired on your bench. Without a trade committe you might see Freddie Mitchell for Marvin Harrison deals left and right.

However, those who argue against trade committees are usually concerned with certain owners who have it against you, rather than truly analyzing a deal. So what is a boy to do? Well, develop some statistics to give you some insight into how the deal is laid out. Here is a recent trade that caused quite a lot of consternation in our league:

Average per weeks (HammQuotient):
Team A				versus Team B
Priest 22.6 (3/4) versus TJ 24.2  (3/4)
Blalock 2.4  (0/5) versus Pinner 7.3 (1/4)
Stallworth 11.6 (3/5) versus C. Johnson 13.9 (2/4)
Keyshawn 11.4 (2/4) versus Gabriel 7.3 (1/4)

Team A's average per week total is 48 versus Team B's (52.7)

The HammQuotient asks the question was it worth starting the player that week? It's a way I like to beat myself over whether I set up my lineups properly that week. Since you're average points per week can be very high, but that is because you scored 40 points one week, but less than 10 the other 3 weeks.

  • If a running back gets over 14.5 points then yes.
  • If a receiver gets over 10.0 points then yes.
  • If a QB gets over 18 points then yes.
  • If a K gets over 7 points then yes.
  • If a DF gets over 12 points then yes.

In the above cases you Team A's HammQuotient in the trade is 8/18 or .421 versus Team B's 7/16 which is a .438.

So my final analysis of the trade at this point in the season is it's pretty fair.


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TAGS:

Commenting Disabled

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