2004 NFL Week 6 Preview: Picks, Fantasy Lineups and HammQuotient
Last Modified
10/15/2004 6:51 PM
Byline: Mike Cunningham
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Story Summary
Week 6 is upon us. The Eagles return to the field and the NFL is abuzz with some still undefeated teams. Who will stay undefeated? Who will have big Fantasy weeks?
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We will only pick winners here. I don't care about lines. The NFL is about victories, not point spreads. So use our picks for your amusement purposes only. Don't forget to check out Sunday night/Monday morning for our Sunday Night QB review of the Eagles-Vikings game. We will have a preview of the game this weekend!
Last Week: [Preview] [Results]
- NFL Week 6 Picks (winners only)
- Yahoo! Fantasy Match-up
- FFNation Fantasy Line-up
- ESPN Gridiron Challenge
- Using the HammQuotient to Evaluate a Trade
Week 6 NFL picks - Mike Cunningham | ||
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Home | Away | |
Chicago Bears | Washington Redskins | |
Atlanta Falcons | San Diego Chargers | |
Buffalo Bills | Miami Dolphins | |
Detroit Lions | Green Bay Packers | |
Philadelphia Eagles | Carolina Panthers | |
Tennessee Titans | Houston Texans | |
Jacksonville Jaguars | Kansas City Chiefs | |
New England Patriots | Seattle Seahawks | |
New York Jets | San Francisco 49ers | |
Cleveland Browns | Cincinnati Bengals | |
Oakland Raiders | Denver Broncos | |
Dallas Cowboys | Pittsburgh Steelers | |
New Orleans Saints | Minnesota Vikings | |
St. Louis Rams | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | |
MNF total: 42 |
Fantasy Football
Week 5 was a big disappoint me for me in both leagues. First in my Yahoo! league, going into Monday Night, I had a 20 point lead, with my opponent having Chris Brown and Tennesee DF going on Monday night. Brown alone scored 20 points with 148 yards on the ground plus 2 touchdowns. He added 24 yards on 3 catches. The Tennessee defense recorded 6 turnovers against the Packers. My opponent even sat the Detroit Defense who had 4 turnovers plus 6 sacks. I wasn't making it out of Dallas alive.
This week I like my team's chances. Donovan McNabb is back for revenge against Carolina. I have 1 very good and 1 very solid Running Back matching up against 1 very good and 1 ok running back. I like my receivers, especially if Muhammed tanks as bad as last week
Oct 12 - Oct 18
HammTastic vs. Milwaukee Beers
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Apollo's Creed (2-3)
Week 5 was rough for me, as I lost to the weekly bonus winner in our league. No shame in that I suppose. No shame. This week, I should have another tough match up. As my opponent's team is clear the better team. Jamal Lewis is on a bye and about to start a 2 week suspension, so it's time for Warrick Dunn to take the bull by the horns and score some points. Dunn has been very consistent scoring 16.7 points per game. And is 4 out of 5 in the HammQuotient for this league. I don't have a HammQuotient for the Yahoo leaque which puts a high premium on touchdowns but little value for yards gained. (20 yards per point versus 10 yards per point in FFNation.com).
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Gridiron Challenge
I know I have 3 Eagles on this list. But the 3 are ranked in the Top 4 of their position. And they are low because they were on a bye last week. Expect them all to have huge weeks. Priest Holmes is also back from a bye and trying to right the ship that is the Kansas City Chiefs. To win this you MUST have Daunte Culpepper on your team. My only weakness is defense, and I don't know what to do about that, I have only .2 points to play with and that's not enough.
Current Roster | 2004 Season Totals | Value | |||||||||
POS | PLAYER, TEAM | NEXT | RANK | TOT | AVG | LAST | LWOPP | MARKET | LOCKED | ||
QB | Daunte Culpepper, MIN | @NO | 1 | 119 | 29.8 | 38 | -- | 6.7 | 6.5 | ||
QB | Donovan McNabb, PHI | CAR | 4 | 96 | 24.0 | 0 | -- | 6.4 | 6.4 | ||
RB | Priest HolmesP, KC | @JAC | 7 | 83 | 20.8 | 0 | -- | 6.2 | 6.2 | ||
RB | LaDainian TomlinsonP, SD | @ATL | 3 | 86 | 17.2 | 18 | -- | 6.0 | 6.0 | ||
WR | Randy MossP, MIN | @NO | 3 | 71 | 17.8 | 21 | -- | 6.2 | 6.2 | ||
WR | Terrell Owens, PHI | CAR | 4 | 70 | 17.5 | 0 | -- | 6.0 | 6.0 | ||
K | David Akers, PHI | CAR | 2 | 41 | 10.3 | 0 | -- | 4.8 | 4.8 | ||
K | John Carney, NO | MIN | 4 | 38 | 7.6 | 5 | -- | 4.2 | 4.2 | ||
D | Cleveland Browns | CIN | 13 | 45 | 9.0 | 1 | -- | 3.5 | 3.5 |
P - Probable; Q - Questionable; D - Doubtful; O - Out; IR - Injured Reserve Total Rating | 50.0 | 49.8 |
Available Rating | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Difference | .0 | .2 |
Season Results | |||||||||||||||||||
WEEK | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | SEASON | PCT |
Your Entry | 125 | 116 | 118 | 105 | 132 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 596 | 78.1 |
Average | 111 | 106 | 124 | 88 | 105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 475 | 50.0 |
Best | 200 | 165 | 210 | 149 | 205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 765 | 100.0 |
Using the HammQuotient To Analyze a Trade
In many Fantasy leagues you have a trade committees to protect teams from unloading players to better teams when your season is over. Some teams begin to troll the 0-5 teams for their best players and unload decent players who have been mired on your bench. Without a trade committe you might see Freddie Mitchell for Marvin Harrison deals left and right.
However, those who argue against trade committees are usually concerned with certain owners who have it against you, rather than truly analyzing a deal. So what is a boy to do? Well, develop some statistics to give you some insight into how the deal is laid out. Here is a recent trade that caused quite a lot of consternation in our league:
Average per weeks (HammQuotient): Team A versus Team B Priest 22.6 (3/4) versus TJ 24.2 (3/4) Blalock 2.4 (0/5) versus Pinner 7.3 (1/4) Stallworth 11.6 (3/5) versus C. Johnson 13.9 (2/4) Keyshawn 11.4 (2/4) versus Gabriel 7.3 (1/4)
Team A's average per week total is 48 versus Team B's (52.7)
The HammQuotient asks the question was it worth starting the player that week? It's a way I like to beat myself over whether I set up my lineups properly that week. Since you're average points per week can be very high, but that is because you scored 40 points one week, but less than 10 the other 3 weeks.
- If a running back gets over 14.5 points then yes.
- If a receiver gets over 10.0 points then yes.
- If a QB gets over 18 points then yes.
- If a K gets over 7 points then yes.
- If a DF gets over 12 points then yes.
In the above cases you Team A's HammQuotient in the trade is 8/18 or .421 versus Team B's 7/16 which is a .438.
So my final analysis of the trade at this point in the season is it's pretty fair.
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